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An analysis of the inward cross-border mergers and acquisitions in the UK : a macroeconomic perspective

机译:对英国境内跨境并购的分析:宏观经济视角

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摘要

Most of the growth in international production over the past decade has been carried out via cross-border mergers and acquisitions. Yet previous empirical work relating to CBM&As has been confined to firm-specific factors. This is against the backdrop that researchers have not been able to develop a coherent theory explaining the increasing trends of CBM&As activity. Building on prior studies, this study attempts to extend the few existing studies by using a simple empirical nonlinear framework to analyse the number of cross-border mergers and acquisitions inflows between 1987 and 2008 into the UK from a macroeconomic perspective. The main findings are that the response of the inflow is asymmetric as there is more persistence during stock market booms versus recessions. There are asymmetries with respect to relative prices suggesting that animprovement in the terms of trade leads to higher inflows once the growth of stock prices is above a threshold level of 8%. Other factors which have significant bearing on CBM&As inflows are the rate of inflation and growth in real GDP.
机译:过去十年中,国际生产的大部分增长都是通过跨国并购实现的。但是,以前有关CBM&A的实证研究仅限于公司特定的因素。这是在研究人员无法建立连贯的理论来解释煤层气与采掘活动增加趋势的背景下进行的。在先前研究的基础上,本研究试图通过使用简单的经验非线性框架来扩展现有的研究,从宏观经济的角度分析1987年至2008年间流入英国的跨国并购交易数量。主要发现是流入的响应是不对称的,因为在股市繁荣与衰退期间存在更多的持久性。相对价格存在不对称性,这表明一旦股票价格的增长超过8%的阈值水平,贸易条件的改善就会导致更高的流入量。与煤层气和天然气流入有重大关系的其他因素是通货膨胀率和实际国内生产总值的增长率。

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